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UFC Fight Night odds, picks: Seasoned MMA analyst reveals selections for Morales vs. Burns and other Las Vegas matchups on May 17

SportsLine MMA expert Kyle Marley has released his predictions for Saturday's UFC card at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas

ByUpdated: May 15, 2025 3:34PM UTC . 3 min read

The Ultimate Fighting Championship Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales heads back to Las Vegas on Saturday. The main card begins at 7 p.m. ET from the UFC Apex, with the event highlighted by the welterweight bout between eighth-ranked Gilbert Burns and 12th-ranked Michael Morales. Burns is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Sean Brady at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady last September. Morales, meanwhile, defeated Neil Magny by knockout at UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho in August 2024. Morales (17-0) is the -850 favorite (risk $850 to win $100) in the latest UFC odds, while Gilbert Burns (22-8) is the +575 underdog (risk $100 to win $575).

Also on the UFC Fight Night card is a light heavyweight clash between Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-1) and Paul Craig (17-9-1). Bellato is 4-0-1 in his last five bouts, while Craig has lost five of six matches, including three in a row. Bellato is the -535 favorite, with Craig coming in at +400. Before locking in your UFC Fight Night picks, you NEED to see the latest MMA predictions from SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley. 

Over the past three-plus years, $100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up nearly $10,000, and since May 2018, he has returned well over $21,000!

The accomplished MMA analyst has provided consistent winners for SportsLine members for the past five years. His accomplishments include hitting five consecutive main-event underdog winners in 2020 following the UFC's brief pause in action because of the pandemic. He also went 9-3 on his picks at last week's UFC card. Anyone who has followed Marley could be way up.

This week at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales, Marley is backing Tainara Lisboa (+145) in a women's bantamweight bout versus Luana Santos (-175) in an early preliminary matchup. "Santos should be the better grappler here, but I don't know that it's enough to deserve this line," Marley said. "Lisboa is the better striker, and she has a wrestling/grappling game herself. I think she can dictate where the fight takes place and if so, I like her to win two rounds."

Marley also has strong picks for Burns vs. Morales and other bouts on the UFC Fight Night card. He's also backing an underdog "high-volume striker and he is a dangerous grappler.You MUST see his UFC picks before making any of your own.

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